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Rising Public Debt of States – A Decadal Analysis (CAG Report)

The CAG’s first decadal report (2013–14 to 2022–23) highlights a sharp rise in States’ public debt, raising concerns over fiscal sustainability and Centre–State financial relations.

Public Debt: Concept

Definition: Borrowings incurred when government expenditure exceeds revenue.

Classification:

  • Internal Debt → Marketable (G-Secs, T-Bills) & Non-marketable (special securities, treasury bills).
  • External Debt → Loans from multilateral/bilateral institutions (for Union; States mainly rely on internal borrowing).

Funds: Raised through the Consolidated Fund of India / State.

Debt-to-GSDP Ratio

  • Meaning: Measures the state’s ability to repay debt relative to its economic output.
  • Significance: Higher ratio = greater fiscal risk; lower ratio = stability.
  • Acceptable Norm (FRBM–NK Singh Committee):
  • Centre: 40% of GDP
  • States: 20% of GSDP
  • Combined: 60% of GDP

Key Findings of CAG (2013–14 → 2022–23)

Rising Debt Levels:

  • States’ debt rose from ₹17.57 lakh crore → ₹59.60 lakh crore (3.39x increase).
  • Debt-to-GSDP ratio: ↑ from 16.66% → 22.96%.
  • States’ debt share: 22.17% of national GDP (2022–23).

Inter-State Variations:

  • High Debt-to-GSDP: Punjab (40.35%), Nagaland (37.15%), West Bengal (33.70%).
  • Low Debt-to-GSDP: Odisha (8.45%), Maharashtra (14.64%), Gujarat (16.37%).

Distribution:

  • 8 States >30% of GSDP
  • 6 States <20%
  • 14 States between 20–30%

Sources of Debt:

  • Market borrowings (bonds, securities, T-Bills)
  • Loans from banks (SBI), RBI (Ways & Means Advances)
  • Financial institutions (LIC, NABARD)
  • Union government transfers (e.g., GST compensation loans during COVID-19).
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